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Lunar Lunacy

February 19th marks the start of the year of the Ram, based on the 12 animals in the Chinese lunar calendar. The number 12 is important in Wall Street cycle analysis as well, since it is divisible by four. Well if history is any guide, for it’s never gospel, 2015 could end up being a pretty good year. During all years since 1900, the S&P 500 gained an average of 7.1%, and rose in price in 67% of all years. During the year of the Ram, however, the S&P 500 gained 7.2% and rose in price 78% of the time. What’s more, this performance wasn’t the best. That honor belongs to the year of the Pig, which rose an average 12.8% and advanced 78% of the time. The year of the Snake was the worst, falling an average 0.5% and declining 60% of the time. As always, remember that past performance is no guarantee of future results.

 

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